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Author Topic: Predict the Election: Electoral Vote  (Read 3218 times)
Finnegans Wake
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« on: Oct 28, 2008 at 13:00 »

Here's the deal.  Predict how many electoral votes Obama and McCain each get, person closest wins an XL men's black Roethlisberger T (a la Jack Daniels bottle style).  I got an extra one over the weekend by mistake.

For the tie-breaker option, you can list which states go to which candidate, but it's not necessary.

Say you guess McCain 280, Obama 258 and the result is McCain 285, Obama 253, you score 5 points.  (Off by 5 on each candidate.)  Lowest score wins.  Remember, there is a total of 538 electoral votes.

This offer null and void if I think you're a jackass or for any other reason of my choosing. 
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otismalibu
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« Reply #1 on: Oct 28, 2008 at 13:10 »

If someone nails it, they get a shmancy dinner jacket that smells of Newt & homemade cider.

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pensodyssey
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« Reply #2 on: Oct 28, 2008 at 13:20 »

I think Obama wins by a few more than are necessary.  He gets 293, McCain goes for 245.

You should make this like the Showcase Showdown.  The person who comes closest without going over.  Makes sense, the dinner jacket looks like something Drew Carey would wear. 
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jonzr
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« Reply #3 on: Oct 28, 2008 at 13:36 »

I'll go with the Obama landslide 313 to 225.

I forget though.  Are the electoral votes winner-take-all or proportional or is it per state?  You'd think after the 2000 election a person would remember that.
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Finnegans Wake
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« Reply #4 on: Oct 28, 2008 at 15:30 »

Electoral votes are winner take all, by state. 

You're thinking of primaries, where the Democrats have some states that are proportionate.
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jonzr
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« Reply #5 on: Oct 28, 2008 at 16:40 »

In that case make it 312.5 to 225.5.
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steelerfaninCO
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« Reply #6 on: Oct 28, 2008 at 18:09 »

Actually, Maine and Nebraska award their electoral votes by congressional district. Obama has an office open in Omaha, in hopes of stealing the 1 electoral vote for winning the district, which is mostly urban Omaha. That 1 vote could break a 269-269 tie that is theoretically possible. Neither state has ever split their  votes, so expect a huge legal battle if it gets to that.

I am cautiously optimistic about an Obama victory. I will go with something crazy like Obama-338 McCain- 200.
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Finnegans Wake
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« Reply #7 on: Oct 29, 2008 at 13:19 »

Actually, Maine and Nebraska award their electoral votes by congressional district. Obama has an office open in Omaha, in hopes of stealing the 1 electoral vote for winning the district, which is mostly urban Omaha. That 1 vote could break a 269-269 tie that is theoretically possible. Neither state has ever split their  votes, so expect a huge legal battle if it gets to that.

I am cautiously optimistic about an Obama victory. I will go with something crazy like Obama-338 McCain- 200.

You fucking douche.

I was looking over the electoral map and was going to predict 338-200 yesterday.  Now I have to put a swing state in play just to be different.

Didn't know that about Maine and Nebraska. 
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steelerfaninCO
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« Reply #8 on: Oct 30, 2008 at 12:23 »

Sorry Finny... If it makes you feel better, if I nail it, I will send you $37 for the T.
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jonzr
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« Reply #9 on: Oct 30, 2008 at 12:47 »

Crap, projections are now 344 - 167 with some obviously undecided or too close to call?

Thought I was going out on a limb with 313 - 225 (which may not even be feasible, was just guessing #'s and not picking per state).
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