OK, I've parsed a few scenarios. First scenario came up with SteelerfaninCO's count, second came up with the Emperor's. So I'll throw Missouri into the mix, despite my gut feeling that late Repub push there drives the state red. It may be the closest contest nationally, and I have a feeling they'll be settling that one after the election is called.
Barack Obama - 364CA (55), CO (9), CT (7), DC (3), DE (3), FL (27), HI (4), IA (7), IL (21), MA (12), MD (10), ME (4), MI (17), MN (10), MO (11), NC (15), NH (4), NJ (15), NM (5), NY (31), NV (5), OH (20), OR (7), PA (21), RI (4), VA (13), VT (3), WA (11), WI (10).
John McCain - 174AK (3), AL (9), AR (6), AZ (10), GA (15), ID (4), IN (11), KS (6), KY (
, LA (9), MS (6), MT (3), ND (3), NE (5), OK (7), SC (
, SD (3), TN (11), TX (34), UT (5), WV (5), WY (3).
A few months ago, I would have thought Obama might win PA but lose FL and OH. I never thought he would have a shot at NC. And I was dubious about VA. He could have a shot at IN, but I don't think he wins that.
