We're down to the last five weeks of the regular season, and the Steelers find themselves in a hell of a pickle. A mediocre overall record and a poor divisional record demands a strong finish.

CBS Sportsline has the current playoff standings, and

Football Outsiders has a weekly update of its calculated playoff odds.

I'll use the actual standings, notated with Football Outsiders odds and other notes.

**AFC ** **1 Indianapolis (y) South 11-0-0**. Indy becomes the first team to clinch a playoff berth. FO places their odds of being the 1 seed at 98.5%.

**2 Cincinnati North 8-3-0**. An identical record to San Diego, FO sees the Chargers as the eventual 2 seed and the Bengals as the 3 seed, with a 33.0% chance, and assigns them a 97.1% chance of making the playoffs.

**3 San Diego West 8-3-0. ** Chargers are listed as having a 34.9% chance of taking the 2 seed, and a 92.2% chance of making the playoffs.

**4 New England East 7-4-0**. FO also agrees that the Patriots look ready to be the weakest division winner by record, and give them a 39.7% chance of taking the 4 seed, and a 93.5% chance of making the playoffs.

**5 Denver West 7-4-0. **Denver hangs on to the 5 seed at FO also, with a 29.4% chance of winning the 5, and a 73.3% chance of making the playoffs.

**6 Jacksonville South 6-5-0**. Jax isn't getting the love from FO, who have them behind Baltimore and Pittsburgh at the 8 spot, with a 19.4% chance of making the playoffs. Not dead just yet, but little wiggle room.

**Still alive** **7 Baltimore North 6-5-0**. FO has the 6 seed going to Baltimore, at 30.3%, and a 60.7% chance overall of making the cut.

**8 Pittsburgh North 6-5-0**. On the outside looking in is Pittsburgh, the 7 team according to FO, with a 40.3% chance of making the postseason.

**9 Miami East 5-6-0.** FO rank is 9, 10.4% chance of making the dance.

**10 N.Y. Jets East 5-6-0**. FO rank is 11, 4.4% chance of making it.

**11 Tennessee South 5-6-0**. Only 12th according to FO, the comeback kids only have a 1.4% shot.

**12 Houston South 5-6-0**. The 10 team in FO's list, and a 7.0% shot.

**13 Buffalo East 4-7-0**. 0.4% chance of making it; not fucking likely.

**14 Kansas City West 3-8-0**. 0.0% chance; close to the official cut.

**15 Oakland West 3-8-0 **. 0.0% chance; almost out.

**Eliminated ** **16 Cleveland North 1-10-0.** Too bad, pukes.

**NFC ** **1 New Orleans South 11-0-0 **. FO has them at a 74.3% chance of being the 1 seed, and 100.0% chance of making the playoffs.

**2 Minnesota North 10-1-0**. 65.5% chance of being the 2 seed and 100.0% chance of making it.

**3 Dallas East 8-3-0**. Cowboys in the playoffs? FO agrees, 36.2% chance of being the 3 seed and 85.8% chance of making it at all.

**4 Arizona West 7-4-0. ** FO gives the Cards a 51.8% chance of being the 4, and with their weak division a 91.8% chance of making the post.

**5 Philadelphia East 7-4-0.** FO flip-flops the Philly and GB order, with Philly the 20.2% chance of making the 6 seed and a 74.1% chance of getting in.

**6 Green Bay North 7-4-0. **GB has a 53.5% chance of being the 5 seed, and an 86.1% chance of getting in.

**Still alive** **7 N.Y. Giants East 6-5-0. ** Giants are also the 7, outside looking in, for FO, with a 16.5% chance of making the 6 seed (not far off Philly's odds), but only a 31.2% chance of making the show. Compare to the AFC 7 seed Pitt, with a 40.3% chance of making it, and you see the NFC has fewer WC contenders with a serious shot.

**8 Atlanta South 6-5-0**. Also 8 in FO, 15.3% chance of the playoffs.

**9 San Francisco West 5-6-0 ** Also 9 in FO, and a 15.3% shot. Note: I made SF the 9 off an identical 15.3% chance of making the post, since Atlanta also had a 15.3% chance of a wildcard spot and SF on a 4.6% chance.

**10 Carolina South 4-7-0**. 0.3% chance; forget it.

**11 Chicago North 4-7-0.** 0.1% chance; nope.

**12 Seattle West 4-7-0**. 0.1% chance; nada.

**13 Washington East 3-8-0 ** 0.0% -- that's not good.

**Eliminated ** **14 Detroit North 2-9-0 **

15 Tampa Bay South 1-10-0

16 St. Louis West 1-10-0 Too effin bad.

So the AFC WC hunt looks like it has 4 contenders (Balty, Denver, Pitt, Jax) for 2 spots. Miami would need a miracle.

In the NFC, it's really GB, Philly, NYG, and maybe Atlanta for the last 2 spots.