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Author Topic: Early 2011 mock draft  (Read 743 times)
Finnegans Wake
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« on: Jan 07, 2011 at 14:10 »

One of the better mock sites has been putting up mocks for weeks, but they keep expanding it and refining it to reflect draft order and underclassmen declaring.  Their site just re-juggled for Luck returning to the Cardinal, but here's a look at some names you might see in R1-4.  Even if it's silly to talk draft now, it's not a bad idea to have some baseline of who the players will be and their relative value.  Yes, things will change, but for now...

I've also edited some of the R1 rationale, as it's lengthy.  The R2-4 stuff is pretty succinct.

Round One

1. Carolina Panthers: A.J. Green, WR, Georgia

At any rate, this pick is now down to three players: A.J. Green, Da'Quan Bowers and Nick Fairley. Mel Kiper and Sun Tan Man will probably have Bowers up here, but Green, in my opinion, is the best available talent. Bowers is an athletic freak who posted great numbers this year, but he has some really bad tape and one has to wonder why he didn't produce in his first two years at Clemson.

Fairley satisfies the greatest need, but you don't draft for need at No. 1. Green is the next of the elite receivers in the mold of Randy Moss, Calvin Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald. Steve Smith is a rapidly declining player, so it's not like the Panthers don't need a wideout. Green is my early favorite to go No. 1 overall.

2.  Denver Broncos: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
Champ Bailey, who is set to become a free agent this offseason, was recently quoted as saying that he's tired of all the change in Denver. It's unlikely that he'll be back. And if he is, Bailey told ESPN that he wants to convert to safety to prolong his NFL career.

Meanwhile, it's possible that Perrish Cox could be headed to prison for a few years in the wake of recent rape allegations. The Broncos obviously need help at corner.

Cornerbacks are seldom taken in the top three, but then again, we said the same thing about defensive tackles prior to the 2010 NFL Draft. Like Ndamukong Suh and Gerald McCoy, Patrick Peterson is a special sort of talent that doesn't come around very often.

3. Buffalo Bills: Nick Fairley, DE/DT, Auburn 

The Bills have ruined their chances of becoming a playoff contender in the first half of this decade by winning themselves out of the Andrew Luck sweepstakes. So they have two options: Take a lesser quarterback like Cam Newton or address a hole on the defensive line with the best player available.

Nick Fairley can play in both the 4-3 and 3-4, which will intrigue the Bills, who can't seem to decide on a defensive scheme.

Fairley has been unstoppable. He completely dominated Alabama's offensive line on Thanksgiving weekend. His stock has risen to the point that it'd be shocking if he fell out of the top five.

4. Cincinnati Bengals: Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson 

The Bengals would love it if Antwan Odom could successfully make it back from his latest injury, but that's not a realistic scenario. Odom has missed 22 games in the past two seasons, and wasn't even effective when he was in the lineup this year. Odom has a $4.5 million salary in 2011, so he could be cut.

Da'Quan Bowers makes sense here. He would project as a great complement to Carlos Dunlap, who had an outstanding rookie year. Plus, if there's one team that'll look past Bowers inconsistencies and poor tape, it's the Bengals.

5.  Arizona Cardinals: Robert Quinn, DE/OLB, North Carolina 

Arizona drafting a quarterback makes absolutely no sense to me. New regimes mean new quarterbacks. Old ones don't. Ken Whisenhunt is on the hot seat. Why would he risk his job with some rookie signal-caller? Whisenhunt will sign a veteran like Donovan McNabb or Marc Bulger (or trade for Kevin Kolb), and have that signal-caller compete with John Skelton next year.

With that in mind, the best player available who makes sense for the Cardinals is Robert Quinn. The Cardinals have a sorry pass rush (26 sacks prior to the Dallas game) and will be letting go of some of their ineffective veterans this offseason. Quinn, who projects well as a 3-4 rush linebacker, would fill a huge need for Arizona.

6. Cleveland Browns: Marcell Dareus, DE/DT, Alabama  

The Browns would love to land a top-tier weapon for the impressive Colt McCoy like A.J. Green. But if Green isn't available, Cleveland will almost certainly beef up its front seven.

The worst player on Cleveland's stop unit is defensive end Brian Schaefering. He has to be upgraded.

Marcell Dareus is the best player on the board who would help improve Cleveland's defense. Dareus hasn't been as dominant as some would have hoped this season, but he's still a top-10 prospect capable of playing in any scheme.

7. San Francisco 49ers: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri  

With a new coaching regime in San Francisco, the 49ers will be targeting a quarterback early in the 2011 NFL Draft. They'll take whomever they like best between Cam Newton, Ryan Mallett, Blaine Gabbert and Jake Locker.

Gabbert is constantly out of shape, terribly inaccurate and the product of a gimmick offense. But because of his size, arm strength and upside, he's widely considered to be a top-10 prospect. I give up.

8. Tennessee Titans: Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas  

Vince Young is gone. Titans fans have to be relieved that Bud Adams made the right choice. Sticking with an inaccurate quarterback with no work ethic would have been disastrous.

However, Tennessee now lacks a franchise signal-caller. It could opt to sign or trade for a veteran, or select a quarterback at No. 8 overall. If it comes down to Ryan Mallett and Cam Newton, Adams may choose Mallett, seeing as how Newton and Young have a pretty similar skill set.

Mallett had a great season. He maintained great accuracy (66.5%) - which is damn impressive considering his 9.9 YPA against SEC opponents. However, his release takes years and he can't move around whatsoever. Mallett could also potentially score in the single digits on the Wonderlic. Hopefully they'll give him five points for spelling his name correctly.
9.  Dallas Cowboys: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska 

The Cowboys have issues in their secondary; they surrendered an average of 319 passing yards in the past seven weeks prior to letting John Skelton win on a fourth-quarter drive. Even Rex Grossman torched them.

Mike Jenkins' effort is always a concern, while the rapidly declining Terence Newman will be 33 heading into the 2011 NFL season.

While Patrick Peterson is the best cornerback prospect to come along in a very long time, Prince Amukamara isn't too far behind him.

10. Washington Redskins: Cam Newton, QB, Auburn 

I can't believe I'm putting Cam Newton this high either. Newton's stock is on the rise in the wake of an impressive comeback at Alabama and a great performance in the SEC Championship; even the talking heads on ESPN seem to agree that Arizona taking Newton in the top five is a good idea.

The Cam Newton Hype Train is coming. If Newton beats Oregon in one of the two national championships this January, some team will probably make a desperate reach.

Many consider Newton unprepared to play in the NFL, but there's no denying that he possesses tremendous upside with a big arm and mobility. He's also a winner with great intangibles (see McCoy, Colt). Some front office will talk themselves into believing Newton is the next multi-threat quarterback, hoping that they can duplicate what the Eagles have right now.

11. Houston Texans: Von Miller, DE/OLB, Texas A&M
Rejoice, Texans fans! Wade Phillips is your new defensive coordinator.

With the shift to the 3-4, Houston will need a nose tackle to pair with ends Mario Williams and Antonio Smith. DeMeco Ryans and Brian Cushing would play inside linebacker, while the outside pass rushers would be Connor Barwin and... umm... Von Miller.

Von Miller has really come on strong after a slow, injury-plagued start to the 2010 season. He's a sack machine who can also drop into coverage.

12. Minnesota Vikings: J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin
The Vikings could draft Jake Locker, but with Josh McDaniels potentially coming on as the offensive coordinator, there's suddenly a chance that Minnesota could trade for Kyle Orton. If so, the team could then spend a later pick on a young quarterback or simply ask McDaniels to develop Joe Webb.

Ray Edwards will hit the free-agent market this March. If the Vikings can't retain him, they'll need a replacement across from Jared Allen on their defensive front.

13. Detroit Lions: Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri  

The Lions need a corner more than a defensive end, but like most teams, they don't draft for need. Detroit will take the top player on its board as long as it makes sense for them, and that could be Aldon Smith in this scenario.

Smith missed some action this year, which would explain why he had only 10 TFL and 4.5 sacks. However, he's an athletic freak of nature and pretty much a lock for the top 15 if he declares as a redshirt sophomore. With Blaine Gabbert headed to the NFL, it appears as though Smith will make the leap as well.

14. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State 

St. Louis' No. 1 goal this offseason is to find a play-maker for Sam Bradford. The Rams could not get anything downfield in the ugly season finale at Seattle because of their abysmal receiving corps. Drafting Justin Blackmon would fix that.

Blackmon had an amazing season; he totaled 111 catches, 1,782 yards and 20 touchdowns. His stock has risen a lot in the past couple of weeks, and he could be the second wideout taken in the 2011 NFL Draft, assuming he declares.

15. Miami Dolphins: Jake Locker, QB, Washington
Jake Locker has really struggled this year, and has not looked like an NFL quarterback in way too many games. He lost confidence late in the season, which should draw a Jimmy Clausen-esque warning signal. Locker is just not ready to start in the NFL, and there are way too many red flags: He can't win games, his completion percentage is abysmal, and he went back to school instead of taking the next step.

However, the Dolphins could be desperate enough to pull the trigger. They really have nothing at the quarterback position, so they'll draft a signal-caller unless they can sign a veteran like Donovan McNabb, Marc Bulger or Brett Favre (yes, Brett Favre).

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Janoris Jenkins, CB, Florida
The Jaguars need an upgrade across from Rashean Mathis. Derek Cox played well at Indianapolis, but has been way too inconsistent this year. In a division with Peyton Manning and Matt Schaub, you can never have too many talented corners.

It'll be interesting to see who emerges as the No. 3 corner prospect between Janoris Jenkins and Brandon Harris. Harris had the edge earlier this season, but was beaten badly against Notre Dame in the team's winter exhibition game.

17. New England Patriots: Cameron Jordan, DE/DT, California
Bill Belichick will probably move down a couple of times, but I'm not going to predict any trades in this mock.

Even with Ty Warren due back next year, the Patriots still need help on their defensive line. Cameron Jordan had an incredible season with 12.5 TFL and 5.5 sacks.

18. San Diego Chargers: Ryan Kerrigan, DE/OLB, Purdue  

With Shawne Merriman gone, Larry English was supposed to step into the starting lineup. Instead, English really struggled. He had just two sacks this year prior to the Kansas City game and has barely seen the field.

Ryan Kerrigan had an amazing senior campaign and has moved into top-10 consideration. He led the nation with 26 TFL to along with his 12.5 sacks. It looks like he's this year's version of Brandon Graham (in terms of his situation as a draft prospect).

19. New York Giants: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA
Keith Bulluck won't be around forever, Clint Sintim hasn't panned out, and who knows how long Michael Boley can stay healthy?

Akeem Ayers is a talented linebacker capable of playing multiple positions in any scheme.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa   

Forget the fact that teams will be worried about Adrian Clayborn's character issues for a second; he just hasn't been all that good this season. Once considered a top-10 talent, Clayborn will likely come off the board in the late teens or early 20s unless he has a dynamic pre-draft workout.

One team that will ignore Clayborn's character concerns is Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers desperately need an outside pass-rusher to complement Gerald McCoy.

21. Seattle Seahawks: Brandon Harris, CB, Miami  

The Seahawks need some help with their atrocious pass defense, especially with Kelly Jennings heading for free agency this March.

Brandon Harris said he was "85-percent sure" he was heading back to Miami before declaring earlier this week. Harris is a talented corner, but struggled in his team's winter exhibition game against Michael Floyd.

22. Kansas City Chiefs: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
A list of players who have lined up across from Dwayne Bowe this season: Chris Chambers, Terrance Copper and Verran Tucker. Bleh.

Julio Jones' downfall is the inconsistency with his hands, but he's an elite talent otherwise. He was great in the Auburn game, and has lifted his stock after a slow start. The fact that he's playing hurt only helps, as teams will love his toughness.

23. Indianapolis Colts: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State
We all saw what happened to Peyton Manning amid pass protection issues against the Chargers on a Sunday night and the Cowboys the following week. Upgrades are needed everywhere.

Left tackle Charlie Johnson will be a free agent in March 2011. He's definitely not the elite blind-side protector Manning needs.

24. Philadelphia Eagles: Gabe Carimi, OT/G, Wisconsin  

The Eagles' most glaring weakness is the offensive line. They've surrendered 49 sacks this year, including six in that weird Tuesday night game against the Vikings.

Gabe Carimi, who played well to close out the year after a slow start, is perfect for Andy Reid's blocking scheme. Carimi can kick inside right away and eventually move to tackle.

25. Green Bay Packers: Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama
Ryan Grant is coming off a season-ending injury, but wasn't very good to begin with. Brandon Jackson stinks. James Starks is way too injury-prone. The Packers need help at running back, and Mark Ingram is a steal at No. 25.

26. New Orleans Saints: Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State 

The Saints don't have many holes on their roster, but they could certainly use some upgrades on their defensive front, particularly at defensive tackle next to Sedrick Ellis.

Stephen Paea projects as a nice complement; he's a 310-pound tackle who had 11 TFL and seven sacks on the year.

27. New York Jets: Cameron Heyward, DE/DT, Ohio State
The Jets will likely have to defeat the Patriots to advance to the Super Bowl in the next couple of years. To do so, they'll need to put as much pressure on Tom Brady as possible without sending multiple blitzers and in turn exposing their secondary. Upgrades are needed at 3-4 end and rush linebacker.

Cameron Heyward really struggled at times this year, but had an outstanding State Farm Sugar Bowl. He's back to being a potential first-round prospect.

28. Baltimore Ravens: Allen Bailey, DE/DT, Miami 

Allen Bailey is one of the top players available who makes sense for the Ravens. He's a good fit in Baltimore's scheme, as he would supplant Cory Redding at left end. Redding just hasn't offered much of a pass rush this year.

29. Chicago Bears: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado  

Jerry Angelo should be exiled if he doesn't improve Chicago's offensive line this offseason. The Bears lead the NFL in sacks allowed (55), as Jay Cutler was constantly pummeled into the turf against the Packers in the regular season finale.

30. Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Pouncey, G, Florida 

There's a lot of uncertainty for the Steelers on the offensive line. Left tackle Max Starks is coming off neck surgery. Right tackle Willie Colon, a free agent in March, suffered a torn Achilles in July. Flozell Adams, meanwhile, will turn 36 a month after the 2011 NFL Draft. There's also a huge void at right guard.

Mike Pouncey, brother of Steelers Pro Bowl rookie center Maurkice Pouncey, fits well into this blocking scheme.

31.  Atlanta Falcons: Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame 

Tony Gonzalez told reporters earlier that he's "50-50" on retiring after this season. If he hangs it up - I think he definitely will if he wins the Super Bowl - the Falcons will really need help at tight end.

32. New England Patriots: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College 

Protecting Tom Brady is Bill Belichick's first priority. With Matt Light heading for free agency this March, New England will need a bookend tackle for Sebastian Vollmer. Vollmer can stay at right tackle if the Patriots draft Anthony Castonzo.

Out of my mind on Saturday night...
Asst. VP, Jonzring
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Have a cup o' joe.

« Reply #1 on: Jan 07, 2011 at 14:48 »

Twin brothers blocking side-by-side in the NFL?  Book another Oscar performance for Sandra Bullock.

"I like David Bowie, he was always my favorite member of Tin Machine."
- Rodney Anonymous

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Finnegans Wake
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« Reply #2 on: Jan 07, 2011 at 15:26 »

Second Round

33. New England Patriots: Justin Houston, DE/OLB, Georgia
The Patriots don't have many holes, but one area they really need to upgrade is the rush linebacker position.

Justin Houston has really opened up some eyes with 19.5 TFL and 11 sacks as a junior this season. He has soared into late first-round consideration.

34. Buffalo Bills: Pat Devlin, QB, Delaware  

Ryan Fitzpatrick is obviously not the long-term solution at quarterback. The Bills will need to take a quarterback in the early stages of the 2011 NFL Draft.

I really liked what I saw out of Pat Devlin in a playoff game against New Hampshire. He has a good arm and was pretty accurate with his throws. He also has a quick release. The big issue is that he holds on to the football too long, but that's something that can be fixed with proper coaching.

35. Cincinnati Bengals: Mikel Leshoure, RB, Illinois  

With potentially three big names gone (Cedric Benson, Chad Ochocinco, Terrell Owens), the Bengals figure to build around Carson Palmer this offseason.

If Benson isn't re-signed - he'll be a free agent in March - Cincinnati will need a new running back, and Mikel Leshoure is one of the top players available. Bernard Scott (sub-200 pounds) is not an every-down runner.

36.  Denver Broncos: Rahim Moore, FS, UCLA
Denver's secondary is an abomination and needs help everywhere. Using back-to-back picks on defensive backs is a very realistic option, especially if the Broncos can land the top-rated safety in the 2011 NFL Draft.

37.  Cleveland Browns: Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh
Like the Rams with Sam Bradford, the Browns desperately need to acquire a play-maker for Colt McCoy.

Jonathan Baldwin struggled this year amid quarterbacking issues, but he's still a physical freak at 6-5, 230.

38. Arizona Cardinals: Demarcus Love, OT, Arkansas  

Arizona will need to provide its new franchise quarterback with some support. Upgrading the tackle position is a must; Levi Brown belongs on the right side, while Brandon Keith should not be starting in the NFL.

39. Tennessee Titans: Stefen Wisniewski, C/G, Penn State
Left guard Leroy Harris and center Eugene Amano were horrific this year. The Titans really need upgrades at both positions.

40. Dallas Cowboys: Kenny Tate, S, Maryland  

New free safety Alan Ball was a pretty big liability this season. The Cowboys need to upgrade this position unless they want DeSean Jackson torching them twice every year.

41. Washington Redskins: Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland  

The Redskins will need to provide their new franchise quarterback with a weapon. Santana Moss, Anthony Armstrong and Chris Cooley just aren't enough.

42. Houston Texans: Phil Taylor, NT, Baylor  

The Texans need a nose tackle for their new 3-4 defense. This is a slight reach, but Houston often goes for need over best player available more than most teams.

43. Minnesota Vikings: Drake Nevis, DT, LSU  

Pat Williams indicated that he played his final game as a Viking on Jan. 2. If that's true, Minnesota will need help at defensive tackle.

Drake Nevis, who had 13 TFL and six sacks this year, is the best player available who makes sense for the Vikings. I wanted to slot him toward the end of Round 1, but there are just way too many 3-4 teams now.

44. Detroit Lions: Aaron Williams, CB, Texas
The Lions always go with the best player on their board. In this scenario, their strategy will also fill a big need. Detroit needs all the help it can get in its anemic secondary.

45. San Francisco 49ers: Jeremy Beal, DE/OLB, Oklahoma  

Both Parys Haralson and Ahmad Brooks are inconsistent pass-rushers across from Manny Lawson. The 49ers need someone more dependable to get to the quarterback.

46. Denver Broncos: Jared Crick, DE/DT, Nebraska
The Broncos finished dead last in the NFL with just 23 sacks. That figure will rise next year with Elvis Dumervil back in the lineup, but Denver still needs another pass-rusher up front.

Jared Crick began the year slowly, but has been on fire lately. He was unblockable in the Big 12 Championship. Crick can play in both the 4-3 and 3-4, so he makes sense for Denver.

47. St. Louis Rams: Mason Foster, OLB, Washington

The Rams have a big hole at weakside linebacker, where Larry Grant and Chris Chamberlain have both failed.

Mason Foster had a great season and should now be in Round 2 consideration.

48. Oakland Raiders: Tyron Smith, OT, USC
Langston Walker will be a free agent this offseason. The Raiders need to upgrade an offensive line that surrendered six sacks to the Steelers.

I wanted to place Tyron Smith higher in the second round, but just couldn't find a spot for him. I didn't consider him at the end of the first round because he weighs only 285-290 pounds. If he gets up to 300-plus by the Combine, I'll definitely move him up my 2011 NFL Mock Draft.

49. Jacksonville Jaguars: Deunta Williams, FS, North Carolina  

Multiple upgrades in Jacksonville's secondary are desperately needed. Reggie Nelson was traded away before the season, but the Jaguars needed help at free safety even before the deal.

50. San Diego Chargers: Muhammed Wilkerson, DE/DT, Temple  

Defensive end Jacques Cesaire will be a free agent next spring, which is a relief for Charger fans because he's not very good. An upgrade at the position is desperately needed.

51. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bruce Carter, OLB, North Carolina
Weakside linebacker Geno Hayes isn't terrible, but he's not very good either and can be upgraded, especially in the wake of his recent arrest.

52. New York Giants: Jordan Todman, RB, Connecticut
The Giants love taking the best player on their board, and that could be Jordan Todman in this scenario. Brandon Jacobs' days in New York are numbered, and the coaching staff is not confident in Ahmad Bradshaw's ability to stay healthy for a whole season.


53. Seattle Seahawks: Rodney Hudson, G, Florida State
I still think Mikel Leshoure would be a steal here if he's available (he was in a previous version), but the Seahawks already used a pick on Marshawn Lynch. Might as well find him an upgrade on the offensive line.

54. Indianapolis Colts: Jurrell Casey, DT, USC
Daniel Muir could be the worst starting defensive lineman in the NFL. Bill Polian has to fix this.

55. Philadelphia Eagles: Brandon Burton, CB, Utah  

Mario Manningham lit up Dimitri Patterson. Even Chris Berman made fun of Patterson on SportsCenter. The Eagles desperately need help at cornerback.

56. Kansas City Chiefs: Jabaal Sheard, DE/OLB, Pittsburgh
The Chiefs have only one reliable pass-rusher. Adding a solid complement across from Tamba Hali would take Kansas City's defense to the next level.

57. Green Bay Packers: Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado
Charles Woodson will be 35 a month into the 2011 season. He's already seen some decline in his production, so it's time for the Packers to find a long-term replacement across from Tramon Williams.

Jimmy Smith has the size (6-2) that Ted Thompson likes out of his corners.

58. New York Jets: Robert Sands, S, West Virginia
The Jets needed safety help even before Jim Leonhard went down with an injury before the Patriots game.


59. Baltimore Ravens: Joseph Barksdale, OT, LSU
Jared Gaither can't get on the field because of back issues. Back problems seldom go away, so if Gaither continues to miss action, Baltimore will have to look at a right tackle early in the 2011 NFL Draft.

Joseph Barksdale drops because he's struggled a bit recently. But I like him here because I get to use my Baltimore-Barksdale joke again.

60. New Orleans Saints: Greg Jones, OLB, Michigan State  

The Saints need help at either weakside or middle linebacker. If they get the latter, they can move Jonathan Vilma over to the former.

61. Chicago Bears: Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina  

Tommie Harris has lost his starting job due to performance. The Bears will be seeking an upgrade at defensive tackle.

Marvin Austin is very athletic and has a ton of upside, but has never lived up to it on the field. However, Lovie Smith and Jerry Angelo always seem to be on the hot seat, so they may want to take a chance on Austin.

62. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia  

The Steelers really need to find an upgrade over Bryant McFadden. McFadden was OK at the beginning of the season, but has really struggled of late.

63. Atlanta Falcons: Leonard Hankerson, WR, Miami  

The Falcons need a strong No. 2 wide receiver across from Roddy White.

64. New England Patriots: Curtis Brown, CB, Texas  

The Patriots can't have guys like Kyle Arrington and the disappointing Darius Butler seeing a ton of action at corner. I know Leigh Bodden is due back next year, but he's a 30-year-old injury-prone player.

Out of my mind on Saturday night...
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« Reply #3 on: Jan 07, 2011 at 15:41 »

Round Three

65.  Carolina Panthers: Benjamin Ijalana, OT/G, Villanova
Carolina needs to find an upgrade on its offensive line unless it wants its quarterback to be sacked half a dozen times every week like Jimmy Clausen was last year.

66. Cincinnati Bengals: DeAndre McDaniel, S, Clemson
The Bengals could stand to upgrade the safety position. DeAndre McDaniel is a first-round physical talent, but has character concerns and issues with consistency. Sounds like the type of player Cincinnati would love to have.

67. Denver Broncos: Jerrell Powe, NT, Ole Miss
Jamal Williams hasn't been very good this year, and he won't be in Denver long anyway. The Broncos will need help at the nose tackle position if they plan on sticking with the 3-4.

68. Buffalo Bills: Titus Young, WR, Boise State  

A deep threat for Pat Devlin. Lee Evans is due $8.4 million next year, so he probably won't be with the team much longer.

69. Arizona Cardinals: Marcus Cannon, G, TCU 

Another upgrade for one of the worst offensive lines in football.

70. Cleveland Browns: Casey Matthews, ILB, Oregon
Eric Barton's playing well for the Browns right now, but he'll be 34 at the beginning of next season. Besides, drafting a Matthews has to be a no-brainer for Cleveland, right?

71. Dallas Cowboys: Chris Hairston, OT, Clemson  

Marc Colombo is one of the worst starting offensive linemen in the NFL. The Cowboys desperately need an upgrade at right tackle.

72. New Orleans Saints: Shane Vereen, RB, California 

The Saints acquired this pick from the Redskins in the Jammal Brown trade.

Why does it seem like all three of New Orleans' running backs are always injured? The Saints could use some stability at the position, and Shane Vereen is the best player available.

73. Houston Texans: Quinton Carter, S, Oklahoma 

The Texans desperately need to address both safety positions this offseason. Free safety is more dire, as Eugene Wilson and Troy Nolan have both failed there.

74. New England Patriots: Darius Morris, OT/G, Temple
New England acquired this pick from the Vikings in the Randy Moss trade.

Logan Mankins may not be back with the team next year. Meanwhile, the oft-injured Stephen Neal just turned 34. He already announced that the 2011 season will be his last as a pro. The Patriots will really need help at guard this upcoming offseason.

75. Detroit Lions: John Moffitt, G, Wisconsin
Detroit desperately needs to upgrade its offensive line this offseason to keep Matthew Stafford healthy.

76. San Francisco 49ers: Rashad Carmichael, CB, Virginia Tech 

Both Nate Clements and Shawntae Spencer have shown a deal of inconsistency over the past year and a half, with Clements struggling in 2009 and Spencer doing this same at the beginning of the season.

77. Tennessee Titans: Sione Fua, NT, Stanford  

The Titans will be looking for a larger defensive tackle if they can't re-acquire Albert Haynesworth.

78. St. Louis Rams: Will Hill, S, Florida  

The Rams really need to find an upgrade over Craig Dahl to shore up their pass defense.

79. Miami Dolphins: Daniel Thomas, RB, Kansas State
There's a good chance Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams will no longer be Miami Dolphins when the 2011 NFL Draft rolls around; both are free agents after this season. Neither is playing particularly well anyway.

80. Jacksonville Jaguars: Nathan Enderle, QB, Idaho  

The Jaguars are expected to select a quarterback relatively early in the 2011 NFL Draft; they need a long-term solution at the position because David Garrard is too inconsistent.

81. Oakland Raiders: Kris O'Dowd, C, USC
The Raiders don't really have anything at center; the Jared Veldheer experiment thankfully came to an end rather quickly. Kris O'Dowd would be a huge upgrade at the position.

82. San Diego Chargers: Quan Sturdivant, ILB, North Carolina
All of San Diego's inside linebackers will be free agents this March, and Quan Sturdivant is one of the top players available.

83. New York Giants: Clint Boling, G, Georgia 

Rich Seubert, 32 in March, just had major knee surgery and might not be ready for the start of the 2011 season, which happens to be his contract year.

84. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Orlando Franklin, G, Miami

The Buccaneers really have issues at the guard position that they'll need to address this upcoming offseason.

85. San Diego Chargers: Greg Little, WR, North Carolina
The Chargers acquired this pick from Seattle for Charlie Whitehurst.

Malcom Floyd has done a solid job this year when he's been healthy, but San Diego will need a No. 2 receiver if it doesn't re-sign Vincent Jackson. The Chargers love tall wideouts, and Greg Little fits the bill (6-3, 210).

86. Philadelphia Eagles: Sam Acho, DE, Texas
Brandon Graham recently tore his ACL, so there's a good chance he won't be very effective next season. The Eagles could use some help at defensive end.

87. Kansas City Chiefs: Nate Irving, ILB, N.C. State
The Chiefs should find an upgrade over Jovan Belcher. Nate Irving is one of the top players available.

88. Indianapolis Colts: Jerrel Jernigan, WR, Troy 

Reggie Wayne is old. Anthony Gonzalez is always hurt. Austin Collie suffers a concussion every other game. The Colts need help at receiver.

89. Green Bay Packers: Steven Friday, DE/OLB, Virginia Tech
The Packers have nothing opposite Clay Matthews. They've tried Brad Jones and Frank Zombo, and both have been ineffective.

90. Baltimore Ravens: Colin McCarthy, ILB, Miami  

The Ravens could stand to upgrade the middle of their defense. Remember, Ray Lewis will be 36 when the 2011 NFL Draft rolls around.

91. New Orleans Saints: Pernell McPhee, DE, Mississippi State
New Orleans will be searching for an upgrade at defensive end across from Will Smith.

92. San Diego Chargers: Noel Devine, RB, West Virginia
The Chargers acquired this pick in the Antonio Cromartie trade.

Darren Sproles will be a free agent in March. Noel Devine is a Sproles-type player who would serve as a substitute.

93. Chicago Bears: Austin Pettis, WR, Boise State
The Bears will be searching for an upgrade at receiver sometime early in the 2011 NFL Draft.

94. Pittsburgh Steelers: Christian Ballard, DE/DT, Iowa 

Aaron Smith is a great player, but he can't seem to stay healthy. Brett Keisel will be 33 at the beginning of the 2011 season. Ziggy Hood has not been impressive in his limited action on the field.

95. Atlanta Falcons: Cliff Matthews, DE, South Carolina  

John Abraham will be 33 a month after the 2011 NFL Draft, so the Falcons may want to invest in a young defensive end.

96. New England Patriots: Niles Paul, WR, Nebraska 

Brandon Tate has been underwhelming as a receiver. The Patriots may want to think about drafting a wideout early and relegating Tate to just special teams.

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« Reply #4 on: Jan 07, 2011 at 15:52 »

Round Four

97. Carolina Panthers: Jarvis Jenkins, DT, Clemson 

The Panthers are really hurting in the interior of their defensive front.

98. Seattle Seahawks: Alex Linnenkohl, C, Oregon State  

Seattle acquired this pick in the Deion Branch trade.

Another offensive line upgrade. Chris Spencer is one of the worst starting centers in the NFL.

99. Buffalo Bills: Brooks Reed, DE/OLB, Arizona
To state the obvious, Aaron Maybin's a bust. The Bills have 26 sacks on the year and desperately need to improve their pass rush.

100. Cincinnati Bengals: Ricky Stanzi, QB, Iowa
A developmental quarterback behind Carson Palmer - just in case Palmer struggles again next year.

101. Cleveland Browns: Brandon Boykin, CB, Georgia 

Eric Wright was an abomination in coverage this season. If the Browns part ways with him this offseason, they'll need a new corner across from the emerging Joe Haden.

102. Arizona Cardinals: Jalil Brown, CB, Colorado  

Arizona's corner play has been abysmal at times this year.

103. Philadelphia Eagles: Lance Kendricks, TE, Wisconsin
I don't know what happened to Brent Celek this year, but if he doesn't step it up next season, the Eagles will need to find a replacement.

104. Houston Texans: Thomas Keiser, DE/OLB, Stanford 

Another pass-rusher - the Texans need depth for Wade Phillips' 3-4 defense.

105. Minnesota Vikings: Jaiquawn Jarrett, S, Temple

Madieu Williams is done in Minnesota. The Vikings desperately need a new free safety.

106. Detroit Lions: Jeron Johnson, SS, Boise State 

The Lions have to improve one of the worst secondaries in football. Multiple upgrades are needed.

107. San Francisco 49ers: Lawrence Guy, DE/DT, Arizona State  

The 49ers could use an upgrade next to Justin Smith and Aubrayo Franklin up front.

108. Tennessee Titans: Lee Ziemba, OT/G, Auburn  

Chris Johnson's rushing average is way down this year because the Titans have major problems in the interior of the offensive line.

109. Dallas Cowboys: DeMarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma
Without many glaring needs, the Cowboys can take the best player available. DeMarco Murray makes sense because Marion Barber will be cut ($4.25 million salary in 2011), while Felix Jones isn't exactly the most durable back in the NFL.

110. Miami Dolphins: D.J. Williams, TE, Arkansas
Anthony Fasano lost his greatest supporter when Bill Parcells left the front office. The Dolphins will be looking for an upgrade at tight end.

111. St. Louis Rams: Kendall Hunter, RB, Oklahoma State  

The Rams could use a change-of-pace back for Steven Jackson, who doesn't have many more peak years ahead of him.

112. Oakland Raiders: Dontay Moch, DE/OLB, Nevada  

Al Davis didn't get to call the shots in the first three rounds of the 2010 NFL Draft, but was allowed to obtain the great player he coveted (Bruce Campbell) in Round 4. Maybe history will repeat itself.

113. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mark Barron, SS, Alabama  

Jacksonville has to upgrade both safety spots in addition to the cornerback position. Hey, there's a reason the Jaguars are 31st against the pass.

114. San Francisco 49ers: Kendrick Ellis, NT, Hampton 

If the 49ers don't plan on re-signing Aubrayo Franklin to a long-term deal, they'll have to find another nose tackle.

115. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Chimdi Chekwa, CB, Ohio State  

Ronde Barber won't be around forever. The Buccaneers need to find a long-term replacement.

116. New York Giants: Tim Barnes, C, Missouri 

The Giants' No. 1 offseason need is to upgrade the center position. I couldn't give them a center in the earlier rounds without reaching, so here we are.

117. Buffalo Bills: Jason Pinkston, OT, Pittsburgh  

The Bills acquired this pick from Seattle for Marshawn Lynch.

Whether the quarterback next year is Ryan Fitzpatrick, Cam Newton, Terrelle Pryor or JaMarcus Russell, the Bills need to improve their offensive line.

118. Kansas City Chiefs: Danny Watkins, OT, Baylor
The Chiefs have a massive void at the right tackle position that really needs to be addressed.

119.  Indianapolis Colts: Will Rackley, OT/G, Lehigh
Another offensive line upgrade for the Colts, whose No. 1 priority this offseason is to improve Peyton Manning's pass protection.

120. Philadelphia Eagles: Davon House, CB, New Mexico State 

It wouldn't surprise me at all if the Eagles double-dipped at corner early in the 2011 NFL Draft.

121. Green Bay Packers: Dwayne Harris, WR/KR, East Carolina
One of the top players available, Dwayne Harris could be added with an ineffective Donald Driver heading toward retirement.

122. Jacksonville Jaguars: Derek Hall, OT, Stanford 
Jacksonville acquired this pick from the Saints for Matt Tennant.

The Jaguars' No. 1 priority is upgrading the secondary. The No. 2 issue is finding some help at offensive tackle. Jordan Black has been awful in replacing Eben Britton.

123. New York Jets: Chris Carter, DE/OLB, Fresno State  

The Jets desperately need players who can get to the quarterback. Chris Carter had 16 TFL and 10 sacks in 2010.

124. Baltimore Ravens: Cecil Shorts, WR, Mount Union
With Derrick Mason heading toward retirement, the Ravens will need some help at receiver soon.

125. Chicago Bears: Greg Romeus, DE, Pittsburgh 

The Bears could use some depth at defensive end; they haven't gotten anything out of Henry Melton.

126. Pittsburgh Steelers: Kelvin Sheppard, ILB, LSU  

James Farrior is having a great year, but he just turned 36. The Steelers will need to find a successor soon.

127. Atlanta Falcons: Johnny Patrick, CB, Louisville

In a division with Drew Brees, an improving Josh Freeman and Andrew Luck, the Falcons will need as many talented corners as possible.

128. New England Patriots: Darren Evans, RB, Virginia Tech

BenJarvus Green-Ellis will continue to be the featured back, but the Patriots will need to find depth behind him.


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« Reply #5 on: Jan 07, 2011 at 16:21 »

Nice early work.  I say early for normal humans with lives.  Mel's been seen sneaking around the hospital checking out the 20 week ultrasounds for the class of 2033.

Couple comments. 

Bowers is an athletic freak who posted great numbers this year, but he has some really bad tape and one has to wonder why he didn't produce in his first two years at Clemson.

His first two years he wasn't working hard enough, plain and simple.  Unbelieveable talent - was the #1 prospect in the nation out of HS.  But don't think it took much effort to destroy opponents then, and took a while to adjust.  Also had some family issues (father died I think) this summer, and finally got motivated to work at it.  Whether he keeps it up remains to be seen, but still lot of upside left.  I'd prefer not to see him in the division.

Other picks:

I don't like Mallett, esp. in top 10.  Mechanics notwithstanding, I don't think he has "it," which knocks him way down for me.  HIs special teams serve him a chance at an incredible comback win against Ohio State on a silver platter, and he promptly throws a pick.  I didn't watch him all year, but seems he came up small in big spots.

Really think Pouncey II will last until end of round 1?  I know he's not quite the player Maurkice is, but with a rookie Pro Bowl appearance, I think somebody will grab his brother early, even if it's a reach.
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« Reply #6 on: Jan 07, 2011 at 17:04 »

Yeah, not a fan of Mallett, or any of the QBs now that Luck's out.  Bad year, IMO, unless you want to spend a few years working on them, which negates R1 value.

I think the negatives with Mike Pouncey have had to do with his C skills.  But as a G, he appears to be a R1 talent, and I am more and more entranced by the idea of Pouncey & Pouncey anchoring our line.  Have to see what OT value presents itself later.  Will Pouncey last to 1c/2a?  Combine will probably dictate that.


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« Reply #7 on: Jan 07, 2011 at 21:27 »

Mike Pouncey looked pretty good in the bowl game against PSU.

That said, finding a RT would be my preference.

Will Colon be a UFA?  I thought that since he was injured, he would go back to RFA status (or maybe it was just RFA if the CBA isn't dealt with).

Honestly, I'd go with a line of Starks-Kemoeatu-Mark Pouncey-Colon-Adams next year, with a RT to take over in 2012.

Words to live by:  "Dick LeBeau is Dick LeBeau," Tomlin said. "Everybody knows Dick."
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