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Author Topic: Early Mock  (Read 1107 times)
jonzr
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« on: Jan 20, 2012 at 15:55 »

From the Plastic Haired One of the WWL:

Indianapolis Colts
Record: 2-14
* Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
We don't know yet who will be coaching the Colts in 2012 and we don't know who will be starting at quarterback, but I have a pretty good hunch Luck will be on the roster. I've said it before: He's the best quarterback prospect I've evaluated since John Elway, which also makes him a player who should be ready to start in Week 1 if the Colts do part ways with Peyton Manning. As a college player, Luck thinks and reads the game at an advanced level, can make adjustments on the fly and call plays and audibles at a remarkably high level for his age. He throws well moving left or right, keeps his eyes down the field and gets through progressions and into checkdowns extremely well. Nobody expects an easy transition for a rookie signal-caller, but Luck has the tools to make the transition easier than most.

St. Louis Rams
Record: 2-14
* Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma St.
There's a clear value question here, because I think St. Louis could leverage this position to trade down for more picks for 2012 and into the future, and then still target Blackmon perhaps a few spots later. But if the Rams can't find a dance partner for a trade, Blackmon still represents precisely what this offense needs. Sam Bradford took a step back in 2011, but he got little help, and Blackmon is a big target, a great route runner and a workaholic who could transition and learn the pro game quickly. St. Louis also could try to shore up an offensive line that took a step back, but Blackmon right now represents the top wide receiver in the draft and fills a big need for the Rams. It should be noted there are a number of teams drafting behind St. Louis that need an elite wide receiver.

Minnesota Vikings
Record: 3-13
* Matt Kalil, OT, USC
The Vikings are another team with a young quarterback, and while they could use a target such as Blackmon in the offense, they also really need to shore up their protection. You see a lot of left tackles drafted and moved to the right side as they transition into the NFL -- Tyron Smith with Dallas last year is a recent case -- but Kalil has big-time talent and could start on the left side early. I don't think the comparisons to Jake Long are too far off. Athletic, with long arms, great feet and deceptive power given an athletic frame, Kalil also could land at No. 2.

Cleveland Browns
Record: 4-12
* Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor
If a team moves ahead of the Browns for Griffin, they also could be in play for Blackmon, or even the guy I have at No. 5, Trent Richardson. However, the questions on Colt McCoy's ceiling as a starting NFL quarterback are getting louder, and if the Browns don't go after a solution such as Matt Flynn, a quarterback certainly could be in play here. Griffin made big strides this past season, particularly with his deep accuracy. He is a big-time athlete at the quarterback position but has developed a very good pocket presence and the ability to read the game, and his big arm comes with a nice touch on intermediate throws. He is a leader and has intangibles that should really impress evaluators during the draft process.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record: 5-11
* Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
Don't simply dismiss the idea that Richardson could land here because of the presence of LaGarrette Blount. For one, we know that if you want a potent running game in the NFL, it can't be built simply around one running back. The reality of injuries is too much of a constant to overlook. Secondly, are the Bucs ready to commit to a longer deal with Blount after the 2012 season? Bottom line, the idea can't be dismissed from a team-building standpoint, and that's before you get to what kind of a player Richardson is. A physical freak, he is extraordinarily powerful, explodes from contact, has lower mileage than many third-year studs because he split carries as a freshman and sophomore with Mark Ingram and has developed as a pass-catcher. Richardson is a first-year impact player.

Washington Redskins
Record: 5-11
* Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
While the "Honey Badger," Tyrann Mathieu, piled up the headlines at LSU, the best cornerback on the team was quietly dominant all season. Currently a top-five player on my Big Board, Claiborne is the top cornerback in the draft. He has good length at 6-foot-1 and is a physical player at more than 180 pounds. The Redskins will need help at corner headed into 2012, particularly in a division in which the Giants, Cowboys and Eagles have elite talent at wide receiver. While not quite the athlete, Claiborne is actually a better pure cover corner than Patrick Peterson, the No. 5 overall pick from last year.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Record: 5-11
Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
The Jags desperately need help at wide receiver, but they also really need help in the pass rush. They got to opposing quarterbacks less than two times a game in 2011, and Coples would fit the scheme as the current top 4-3 defensive end in the draft. Coples has great length at 6-foot-6, and while he has excellent skills as a pass-rusher, he also has the size to hold up in the run game. He doesn't quite have the athleticism of former North Carolina star Julius Peppers but should be able to upgrade the Jacksonville pass rush immediately, and guys with his size and skills aren't that easy to find.

Carolina Panthers
Record: 6-10
* Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
Were they to line up Kirkpatrick across from Chris Gamble, the Panthers would have a pair of corners with elite size and talent in a divison in which you can't have enough good corners. Opponents completed a hair less than 65 percent of their passes against the weak Carolina secondary in 2011, and Kirkpatrick can provide an immediate upgrade. He has elite size for the position, at 6-foot-3 and nearly 200 pounds, but doesn't give much away in cover skills. Kirkpatrick has some off-the-field questions that could hurt his stock, but reserving judgement for now, he'd be a fit here.

Miami Dolphins
Record: 6-10
* Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
The Dolphins made big improvments to the offensive line last year with their first-round pick, and Reiff would offer them an immediate starter and make the offensive line a big strength. Reiff's tape was exceptional this past season, and he has a lot of experience and a proven ability against top competition. The Dolphins were very close to being a good team in 2011, and I do think they can target a player on offense, although help at outside linebacker also makes sense. The Dolphins could be another team looking for options at quarterback, but even if they go into the season with Matt Moore back as starter, Reiff adds further stability to an offense that could continue to improve.

Buffalo Bills
Record: 6-10
Courtney Upshaw, LB, Alabama
Buffalo did well when it drafted Alabama defensive tackle Marcell Dareus with its first pick last year, but the pass rush still needs a lot of help. Upshaw is currently the best 3-4 outside linebacker in the draft, and he should be able to apply a lot of pressure to opposing quarterbacks from the edge for whoever gets him for 2012. No Buffalo player had more than 5.5 sacks in 2011, and the Bills simply can't get enough pressure without bringing extra players. Upshaw is a part of the solution. This is a big-time talent, a player who already was making an impact at Alabama as a freshman. He'll follow a similar path as a pro.

Kansas City Chiefs
Record: 7-9
Devon Still, DT, Penn St.
Romeo Crennel could use a disruptive interior line presence in his system, and Still can be a penetrator in the 3-4, capable of occupying blockers and making plays in against the run while also splitting gaps against the pass. He came on in 2011 at Penn State and should help this defense up front, as the Chiefs also get Eric Berry back in the secondary in 2012. With this kind of reinforcement, the Chiefs have a chance to become an upper-echelon defense going forward, something they showed glimpses of this past season.

Seattle Seahawks
Record: 7-9
Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina
The Seahawks have quietly made major strides in overhauling the roster and finding solutions to grow with in the past two years. Last year, they targeted offensive linemen early, and with the addition of Sidney Rice and Doug Baldwin, also have good talent at wide receiver. Even banged up at O-line, they ran the ball with some effectiveness. Obviously, quarterback remains a big question, but that's not something they can target at this spot in the draft. What they can do is add a final piece to a defense that is young, fast and extremely good in the secondary. The linebacking corps was strengthened by the emergence of K.J. Wright. So the work is up front and at defensive end for a team that was just 23rd in the NFL last year in sack percentage. Ingram is just big enough to fit this system as a 4-3 defensive end, and should add a boost to the pass rush early.

Arizona Cardinals
Record: 8-8
* Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford
The Cardinals need to mend the offensive line -- they haven't drafted an offensive lineman before the fifth round since 2007 -- and Martin is an athletic, powerful left tackle who can help upgrade this unit immediately. While questions remain about what the Cardinals have at the quarterback position after they committed so much both in terms of value and dollars to Kevin Kolb, there's no question they have to be better up front regardless of who takes the snaps. Again, that's a long time to go without getting some talent up front early in a draft. Martin would be a solid value here.

Dallas Cowboys
Record: 8-8
* David DeCastro, OG, Stanford
Last year, the Cowboys got Tyron Smith at No. 9 overall, and that pick helped them turn over the offensive line. The results were pretty good in 2011. With DeCastro, the Cowboys have a chance to solidify the interior of the line, helping both the running game and protection for Tony Romo and make that unit a strength. The way I see it, the Cowboys have good pieces in place at every other spot on the offense. The talent at wide receiver and tight end is fine, Romo was quietly among the top-performing quarterbacks and there's plenty at running back. Doubling down on the O-line should be an option for Jerry Jones. If the value is there, Dallas could also target the secondary.

Philadelphia Eagles
Record: 8-8
* Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College
The Eagles were really weak up the middle in 2011, and Kuechly is the top interior linebacker available in the draft. Since Brian Dawkins departed, safety has also been a perpetual question mark, so I could see that being considered here. But in Kuechly you get a player who can fill a massive void in the defense. He's a guy who can come in and start immediately; he's got exceptional instincts, is a very good athlete, demonstrates great form and can fly around making tackles in the middle of the field. He's just a machine. Last year, few teams were forced to utilize lesser talent at linebacker than Philly, and Kuechly can help fix that problem.

New York Jets
Record: 8-8
Mark Barron, S, Alabama
Last year the Jets targeted help up front in the first round, and while the pass rush still needs some work, the secondary is a big concern because of the way the Jets' safeties got abused this year. You'd see teams lining up bigger receivers in the slot to target New York's smaller safeties and force Rex Ryan to make some tough decisions in coverage. In Barron, the Jets would get the best safety in the draft, a big, rangy talent with big-game experience and the ability to match up against taller receivers and tight ends. The Jets have schemed around a weakness at safety, but it's time to put a better talent back there.

Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland)
Record: 8-8
Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska
It says a lot about last year's draft that Cincinnati can put the focus back on defense with one of its first-round picks in 2012. Dennard is a solid, physical cover corner who would offer a talent upgrade in the secondary. The Bengals could go a few directions here, but after getting a decent year out of veteran Nate Clements, they should look at getting a younger player who can develop even as he helps early. Dennard fits the bill.

San Diego Chargers
Record: 8-8
Cordy Glenn, OG, Georgia
The Chargers fell apart up front this past season, mostly due to injury, and Glenn is one of those really attractive picks who can help you immediately because he can play pretty much everywhere. That's what he did during his time at Georgia, as a dominating guard who also has worked on the edge at a high level. Glenn is a safe pick, and the Chargers simply must do something up front to help Philip Rivers get comfortable again. He struggled in 2011, but his problems started up front.

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« Reply #1 on: Jan 20, 2012 at 15:55 »

Chicago Bears
Record: 8-8
Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
If the Bears learned anything when Jay Cutler went down this season, it was that the offense wasn't very pretty without him. But Cutler also needs help. Last year, Chicago had to start up front because the offensive line was such a weakness. But as the Bears anticipate getting some healthy bodies back up front to start 2012, they now must find some help for Cutler at wide receiver. The current group has some speed, but he could use a big target, and Floyd can be that guy. He has a big frame, but Floyd actually dropped some weight for the 2011 season, and he managed to look quicker and more explosive in and out of his breaks without giving up much as a physical receiver. He'd be a nice option in this offense and a threat in the red zone.

Tennessee Titans
Record: 9-7
* Nick Perry, DE, USC
He started as a freshman at Southern Cal, and it's because he is just a natural pass-rusher. This season, he added to his repertoire, and he can help a team early as a pass-rushing specialist in a 4-3 defense. Tennessee's pass rush was really bad this season; the Titans got to opposing quarterbacks on just 4.52 percent of drop-backs, a rate that was 31st in the NFL. Perry probably could add some bulk to his frame, but his instincts as a pass-rusher are in place and the Titans certainly need the help.

Cincinnati Bengals
Record: 9-7
* Lamar Miller, RB, Miami (Fla.)
Cedric Benson has been serviceable for the Bengals, but they desperately need to add some explosiveness in the run game. Even with what I considered an underrated offensive line, the Bengals managed just 3.9 yards per rush attempt this season. With solutions now in place in the passing game, they are one of the teams that can afford to take a shot on a potentially elite running back in the first or second round. Miller can run inside but also break off the big run, something the Bengals never got with Benson.

Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta)
Record: 4-12
Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
Quietly, Wright had a season that almost matched Blackmon's in the Big 12. The Browns might not end up with Griffin with the No. 4 pick, but his teammate would make a lot of sense here. Greg Little is a developing big target and had a pretty good rookie season given the overall performance of the Cleveland offense. Wright is smaller at about 5-10, 190 pounds, but could add a speed threat this offense really needs. He can beat teams over the top with straight-line speed but also works underneath and will do a lot of damage after the catch. The Browns need weapons, and Wright, who also has great hands, fits the profile.

Detroit Lions
Record: 10-6
Zach Brown, LB, North Carolina
Detroit again will go into the 2012 season with perhaps the best front four in the NFL. Martin Mayhew and Jim Schwartz calculated well that the secondary would make strides after being such a weakness in previous seasons. Where the Lions could use help is at linebacker, and Brown would be a good fit. Brown has great instincts as a rangy tackler, and he has a lot of speed and can run with tight ends. I certainly can see the Lions looking for help on the offensive line at this spot, but if a top tackle doesn't fall to them here, Brown makes sense.

Pittsburgh Steelers
Record: 12-4
* Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis
Dick LeBeau can do a lot of things, but he can't scheme around age. The Steelers were very good on defense this season, but they simply have to get younger, particularly up front, if they want to maintain it. Poe has risen a lot for me in terms of value, but he's also a rarity, that zero-technique centerpiece to a 3-4 defense, the guy who simply eats up tacklers and is a human wall in the run game. If he develops, Poe can be the heir to Casey Hampton in the middle of that scheme, a human boulder who will free up those linebackers.

Denver Broncos
Record: 8-8
* Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi St.
Denver had some really good stretches on defense, particularly in the pass rush, but the Broncos weren't very consistent and the numbers were a little worse than people might realize. The pass rush is there on the outside, but Cox is a guy who can penetrate and get tackles for loss from the inside. The Broncos could go a few ways, including receiver if they see a value, or perhaps corner. But the way the board falls here, Cox would be a good fit for a defense that better be elite as the offense attempts to find consistency.

Houston Texans
Record: 10-6
* Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers
When Andre Johnson was lost for a long stretch this season, it didn't totally derail the Houston offense. What it did do was severely hamper the Texans' play-action game, which can be simply devastating with the combination of a steady run game and the presence of Matt Schaub. In that scheme, the Texans can pile up chunk yardage with the pass, and Sanu is the type of guy who can stretch the field and be a huge threat across from Johnson. And when you consider that Johnson will be 31 entering the 2012 season, the Texans need this kind of presence around if he misses any more time. Sanu is hugely productive, creates space, has good speed and can contribute early.

New England Patriots (from Saints)
Record: 13-3
* Michael Brockers, DL, LSU
The Patriots have a pair of picks in the first round, and my guess is they'll look to get younger on the defensive line and work to add some pieces to a pass rush. That was something they really didn't address in last year's draft, but as creative and resourceful as they are, it might be time. Brockers could end up a lot higher than this when the evaluation process is over because his reputation is growing. I list him simply as a defensive lineman because the Pats could use him in a couple of different ways up front in that scheme. What he can do is add explosiveness on the interior -- he's a pentrator with the ability to dominate if left to a single blocker, which frees people up.

Green Bay Packers
Record: 15-1
Whitney Mercilus, LB, Illinois
It was masked somewhat by reputation, but no team in the NFL had a lower sack rate than Green Bay during the regular season. And it was on display again in the playoffs -- the Packers simply can't create pressure without bringing blitzers, leaving the secondary vulnerable. Mercilus (pronounced "merciless") played to that description at Illinois this past season. I see him standing up as an outside linebacker after playing with his hand on the ground in college. At 6-foot-4, 265 pounds, he has a good profile for the position, and he really knows how to get to the quarterback. The question on him is he really exploded this season, so the body of work is lighter than some, but the Packers need to find some pass-rush help and Mercilus is a good value here based on his current grade.

New York Giants
Record: 9-7
Zebrie Sanders, OT, Florida St.
The Giants have done a fantastic job of coaching up this offensive line after some big changes heading into the season, but they could get younger and add some talent, and Sanders would be a solid fit. This offense is going to be dynamic if it can open holes for the run game and provide time for Eli Manning, so an investment in the offensive line is never a bad idea.

Baltimore Ravens
Record: 12-4
* Vontaze Burfict, LB, Arizona St.
He's been drawing comparisons to Ray Lewis since he got to Tempe, and hopefully Lewis will be around for another year to mentor Burfict. But either way, the Ravens have to consider what they'll do, as retirement talk now is a reality for their legendary linebacker, and Burfict is the kind of player who could develop into a star in his own right in that defense. He is instinctive and rangy, and plays with an edge. He developed a bit of a reputation as a guy who was prone to the personal foul, but if he channels that energy, Burfict could be a very good one. He has a ton of experience as an immediate freshman starter and reads the game pretty well.

San Francisco 49ers
Record: 13-3
* Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina
The 49ers got much better production out of the offense this season, but I still see a need for a big target on the outside, something Braylon Edwards wasn't able to provide. Jeffery is an absolute beast, a guy who plays at more than 230 pounds and easily could top 6-foot-4 when he measures out. He goes up over corners and attacks the ball, catching it away from his body like a rebounder. The Niners struggled mightily in the red zone all season, and Jeffery might not be a burner but is the kind of player you can post up in the end zone to help solve that problem.

New England Patriots
Record: 13-3
Andre Branch, LB, Clemson
A defensive end at the college level, Branch would convert to outside linebacker and add some immediate help to the New England pass rush. He racked up 10.5 sacks this past season and has a 6-foot-5, 260-pound frame, a good physical fit for the transition. Branch also has the athleticism to be more than a pure pass-rusher, as he should be able to develop into a well-rounded OLB under Bill Belichick.
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« Reply #2 on: Apr 02, 2012 at 12:14 »

McShay has Dontari Poe (NT) going to Carolina @ #9 and the Steelers taking Dont'a Hightower.
Kiper dittos that.

Kiper:
Indianapolis Colts
Record: 2-14
* Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
No change here, even with the change to the future of Peyton Manning. Luck was going to land with the Colts; it was only a matter of whether he'd be serving an apprenticeship. I'm interested to see if he gets a deal done well before the draft so he can dive into the playbook. You know the scouting report. Arm strength, talent, size, smarts, leadership, intangibles -- it's all there. Luck is currently working hard out in Palo Alto to further refine his talents.

Washington Redskins (from Rams)
Record: 5-11
* Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor
The Redskins will get their man. The price was pretty extraordinary, but if you think you're drafting the future of your franchise at the quarterback position, it's a price you pay. I've said before that I think RG3 will be capable to start in Week 1, and I'll assume that's the plan for the Redskins. The expectations will be high.

Minnesota Vikings
Record: 3-13
* Matt Kalil, OT, USC
This is one I'm going to stick with. I've liked the pick since the first mock, and I don't see a reason to change. Minnesota needs an upgrade at left tackle, and Kalil is the rare one who could step into that position right away at the NFL level. There's a lot of talk about which quarterback will go where right now, but this pick is about keeping Christian Ponder upright for the Vikings. They won't know what they have unless they can block for him. And it's obvious this will help the running game, too.

Cleveland Browns
Record: 4-12
* Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma St.
Cleveland won't get RG3, but I think Blackmon will be there at this spot, and they'll get a big-time talent and something their offense desperately needs. The obvious question is what they'll do at QB, but I think they could be active in free agency in that regard. Blackmon's pro day was a success, and he quieted some questions about his speed. He'll be a great fit in the offense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record: 5-11
* Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
This is one more I'm sticking with. Richardson could land here despite the presence of LaGarrette Blount, and depending on how his workouts go, I can see a team trading into this position to take him. Great running teams need more than one good back, and Richardson is superior to Blount. Further, if the Bucs are going with a best player available at this spot, Richardson fits the bill. I can also see the Bucs taking a close look at cornerbacks, which brings the next guy on the board into play, but I like Richardson here until I get a clear signal they're going another direction.

St. Louis Rams (from Washington)
Record: 2-14
* Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
St. Louis may not be done. I can see them moving down again, as they have multiple needs and may not be in love with the value of this pick if Blackmon isn't on the board. However, if they remain at this spot, Claiborne makes a lot of sense. The Rams' secondary was a disaster last year, and they have a chance to take the top cornerback in the draft if things break this way. I can also see them going for either offensive line or defensive tackle help at this spot.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Record: 5-11
Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
Coples wasn't quite as dominant as I thought he'd be during the 2011 season, but the draft process has reinforced what a lot of front office folks believed, which is that he's clearly the top 4-3 defensive end in the draft. The Jags need pass-catchers, but if Blackmon isn't available, Coples fits. Jacksonville sacked opposing quarterbacks fewer than two times a game in 2011, and Coples is a great fit for the scheme. He has great length at 6-foot-6, and the size to hold up in the run game, complementing his pass-rush skills. Jacksonville is another team that simply needs to upgrade its talent level, so the Jaguars shouldn't reach based on need.

Miami Dolphins
Record: 6-10
Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
The Dolphins will be adding a quarterback -- Manning is obviously in play -- and Reiff puts the finishing touches on an improved offensive line. Reiff was exceptional this past season, and given how complete he is right now, stepping in immediately on the right side shouldn't be a problem. I've said that outside linebacker would make sense here, but Miami knows offensive line play will be a big part of their success in 2012, regardless of who takes the snaps. They went O-line in Round 1 last year with good results, and doubling down wouldn't hurt them.

Carolina Panthers
Record: 6-10
* Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis
The Carolina defense couldn't stop the run last year and had to rotate a pair of rookies on the defensive interior. The offense could use a couple pieces, but they'll be able to score points. Carolina needs to find some stops. Poe was the story of the combine on the defensive side of the ball. He posted numbers for a big man we haven't seen since Haloti Ngata, and if his technique matches the physical traits, he can be a really good one. His size will get him pegged for a 3-4, but I like him better in a 4-3.

Buffalo Bills
Record: 6-10
Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina
Ingram's stock is on the rise, and the Bills need a pass-rusher. He's billed as a defensive end based on the system at South Carolina, but Buffalo can use him in their personnel groupings and not limit what he does best. He's a pass-rusher, but isn't a guy that becomes a liability against the run. I think there is still growth in Ingram's game, as he learns to better disengage from blocks. With Steve Johnson back in the fold, the Bills should put their focus on defense early.

Kansas City Chiefs
Record: 7-9
* Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College
Kuechly came to Indy with concerns about his size. But he weighed in at over 240 pounds, easing some of those concerns, and then shined in workouts, proving the added bulk won't slow him down; a classic case where a guy answers the big questions and solidifies his stock. Romeo Crennel needs linebackers with great instincts who can be physical in the run game, make stops and also get into the backfield when asked. Kuechly is simply a machine, a prototype for what you want in an interior linebacker. I can see the Chiefs looking for a nose tackle, so if Poe is around, that pick makes sense as well.

Seattle Seahawks
Record: 7-9
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M
There's no question that Tannehill's stock was helped when a couple of other QBs opted to stay in college, but his growth curve has been exceptional, and he's a guy you draft with a very high ceiling in mind. Good arm, the athleticism you'd expect from a former wide receiver and with very good instincts for the position, some team will take him in the upper half of Round 1. We know Seattle isn't set on a long-term solution at QB, and Tannehill makes sense as a guy that gets a full year of developmental time.

Arizona Cardinals
Record: 8-8
Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
Offensive line would be the more obvious pick here, but I want to see what the Cardinals do in free agency first. Floyd would be a great complement to Larry Fitzgerald in that offense, and give the Cardinals an enviable pair of guys that can work underneath, go deep and also post up smaller defensive backs in the red zone. Outside of the offensive line, Floyd is as much as you could do to help a quarterback.

Dallas Cowboys
Record: 8-8
Mark Barron, S, Alabama
We all know the story. Dallas was a mess defending the pass in 2011, and it might look for help both in free agency and here. Barron's a perfect fit for the Cowboys. He's the best safety in the draft, and the Cowboys can't go wrong with either the top safety or the top cornerback here. He didn't work out in Indianapolis, coming off double hernia surgery, but it's not a lingering concern.

Philadelphia Eagles
Record: 8-8
* Michael Brockers, DT, LSU
No team was softer up the middle than Philly in 2011, and in Brockers the Eagles get a big, active player who can both take up blocks and penetrate. He weighed in at 322 pounds at the NFL combine, heavier than I've ever had him listed, but I don't see him as a prototype 3-4 nose tackle. My guess is he'll play a little lighter once he gets into camp, and the Eagles will benefit, particularly against the run. This is like a baseball team -- they need to build out the middle of the field on defense. If Kuechly is here, that makes sense as well.

New York Jets
Record: 8-8
Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama
Rex Ryan needs a guy that can get to the quarterback on his own, meaning without a blitz package, and Upshaw is that kind of player. He plays with a high motor, sheds blocks well with quickness and violent hands and makes plenty of sense in Ryan's system. He's also bigger than he was listed at Alabama. The Jets could also grab Barron if he's on the board, or get a defensive lineman if they see a fit.

Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland)
Record: 8-8
* Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
Johnathan Joseph left a void last year when he landed in Houston as a free agent, and Kirkpatrick will fill the void. This is a big, physical corner who doesn't give up much in coverage given his size (nearly 6-3), which makes him particularly good inside the red zone. He's also tough against the run. I have the Bengals as a team who could trade up for Richardson if he starts to fall on the board, but if they don't, Kirkpatrick offers immediate help.

San Diego Chargers
Record: 8-8
Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois
The book on Mercilus is he's an athletic, long-armed pass-rush specialist who simply dominated as a senior. The track record over a few seasons isn't there, but he could be a steal if what we saw in 2011 is what Mercilus truly is. The Chargers need help on the offensive line, but I think free agency will help us get a clearer picture. Mercilus is a great value here, but we'll see how the needs shift.

Chicago Bears
Record: 8-8
Mike Adams, OT, Ohio St.
It looks like the Bears will be really aggressive in targeting wide receivers in free agency, and the offensive line still has to be better. Mike Tice knows as well as anybody that Jay Cutler can be successful in the passing game first if he's not getting hit on every play. Adams wasn't a star in terms of testing, but he's really good in pass protection, and the Bears could use more of that trait along the line. He moves his feet and doesn't get beat inside, but he has the length and technique to protect the edge.

Tennessee Titans
Record: 9-7
* David DeCastro, OG, Stanford
The Titans also need pass-rush help, but if things break this way, DeCastro represents tremendous value, and that offensive line could use the help after a year where the running game totally fell apart. DeCastro is the kind of player you can draft who won't get big headlines, but will pay immediate dividends because they can plug him in Week 1. Obviously, if a pass-rusher they like falls to No. 20, they could go that direction.

Cincinnati Bengals
Record: 9-7
Cordy Glenn, OG, Georgia
I have guard as one of the top needs for the Bengals, and if they don't get DeCastro at this spot, Glenn isn't much of a drop. Cincinnati will have added help in the run game next year, but it also needs to get better up front. Glenn is a guy who has also spent time at tackle, and could be moved there in a pinch, but he dominates on the inside and is surprisingly quick given his huge frame. Another good piece in an offense primed to get better.

Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta)
Record: 4-12
Lavonte David, LB, Nebraska
This is a bit of a gut call for me. I'm not sure exactly how teams will use David, but the guy can flat-out play. The question on David was size, but he checked in at 233 pounds last week, and didn't appear to lose a step in the workout phase, which made me rethink my second-round grade. David played smaller at Nebraska, but you won't find a guy that simply flew all over the field the way David did anywhere in the draft. Cleveland needs help in several spots, but David will be productive.

Detroit Lions
Record: 10-6
* Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina
Detroit could get into the mix for a cornerback during free agency -- Cortland Finnegan is a name that has come up often -- but I'd still be shocked if the Lions go two rounds without adding a corner. They have plenty of talent up front, and they need to turn their pass rush into more interceptions. Gilmore is a bigger corner, a guy that can handle big wide receivers, but he also doesn't lose much in terms of quickness. I can also see the Lions going O-line or linebacker here, but corner is a big need.

Pittsburgh Steelers
Record: 12-4
Dont'a Hightower, LB, Alabama
As part of their purge to get in good standing with the salary cap, the Steelers had to cut veteran James Farrior. While they have some young talent at linebacker, given the way their system works, I think they'll want to find Dick LeBeau another player that can help early. Hightower was an exceptional young player for Bama before he lost a year with an ACL injury, but he recovered this year and might have plenty of growth left. The Steelers have new needs, and Hightower fills one.

Denver Broncos
Record: 8-8
* Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi St.
Denver has the pass rush on the edge but must add more depth on the inside, because despite the flashes this defense had last year, overall the Broncos profile as a team that has some holes on that side of the field. Cox is an active guy, a penetrator who will be a great fit in the Denver system, and can help them get some inside push. Cornerback is also a concern, but we'll know more after free agency. If Tannehill is still on the board at this stage, it could make for a pretty interesting draft night.

Houston Texans
Record: 10-6
* Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
When the Texans lost Andre Johnson last year, it completely eliminated their ability to stretch the field. That's a problem, because this is a system that thrives on regular use of play-action packages, and it loses a lot of juice if there's nobody around to challenge defenses deep. Wright can do that. His performance in Indy wasn't his best, but his tape shines -- you see a guy that plays fast in pads and beats people deep. His hands are also fine.

New England Patriots (from Saints)
Record: 13-3
Kendall Reyes, DT, Connecticut
I had Reyes to the Patriots with their other first-round pick in a previous mock, and he sticks, albeit a little higher, this time around. The Patriots know they have to get better along the defensive front, and that could come via free agency (Mario Williams?). Still, I'd be surprised if they don't target it in the draft, even though Bill Belichick never fails to make moves and surprise during the draft. Reyes provides an active run-stuffer up front, a guy that can eat up blocks and free up rushers.

Green Bay Packers
Record: 15-1
* Nick Perry, LB, USC
The Packers need help in the secondary, but a lot of that starts with the pass rush. It's not an exaggeration to say the Packers' pass rush fell off a cliff towards the end of last season. In Perry, you get a guy who played with his hand on the ground at USC, but should be able to stand up for the Packers and provide the complement they need. And hey, the last time the Packers looked for pass-rush help out of USC it worked out just fine.

Baltimore Ravens
Record: 12-4
Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin
Ray Lewis coming back makes me like this pick more, so I'm sticking with it. As I've said before, Matt Birk will need a replacement at center, and Konz is the best one in the draft. He's like a good quarterback out there, able to call the defensive looks, and will be a big help to Joe Flacco. The Ravens were a mess up front for portions of 2011 and will need to add help there.

San Francisco 49ers
Record: 13-3
* Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech
Hill set Indy ablaze, going sub-4.4 in the 40 while measuring 6-foot-4. San Francisco, meet the deep threat you've been looking for. It's no secret the 49ers need more out of their wide receivers, and Hill brings a new aspect to the table, with elite size and track speed to stretch defenses both for himself, and to open up things underneath. He'll need an adjustment period as he gets used to a more conventional offense, but some team is going to fall in love with the measurables.

New England Patriots
Record: 13-3
Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama
There's no question Jenkins comes with baggage, but without it you're talking about a player in the conversation 20 spots higher on the board. If you like your locker room and feel like you can keep him on track, this is the kind of guy you take a risk on at a big need position. I still think corner is one for the Patriots, who could obviously look at pass-rush help here. But put a talent like Jenkins in a culture like New England's, and you could have a steal.

New York Giants
Record: 9-7
Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford
The Super Bowl was great for the party, but the Giants took a hit on the personnel side, where they lost a pair of tight ends to injury. Fleener has overtaken Dwayne Allen of Clemson as the top tight end on my board, and the Giants need one. He has great hands, will run a lot better than people think and knows how to work in a pro-style system, lined up on the line of scrimmage. He's a great red zone target. The Giants also need offensive line help, or could target a linebacker here, but Fleener makes a lot of sense.
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« Reply #3 on: Apr 02, 2012 at 12:17 »

McShay:
Indianapolis Colts
Record: 2-14 | Top needs: QB, WR, 3-4 NT, TE, 3-4 DE
Andrew Luck*, QB, Stanford
An outstanding pro day workout, which confirmed Luck's ability to make all the throws and quieted questions about his arm strength, has cemented his status as the top overall prospect and the best choice for the Colts as they begin the post-Peyton Manning era.

Washington Redskins (from STL)
Record: 5-11 | Top needs: QB, ILB, ROT, RB, S, CB
Robert Griffin III*, QB, Baylor
Griffin also had a strong pro day, and his athleticism and intangibles make him a perfect fit for the offense of coach Mike Shanahan. The Redskins have been searching for answers at quarterback for years, and they have found them in Griffin.

Minnesota Vikings
Record: 3-13 | Top needs: OT, WR, CB, S, MLB, DT
Matt Kalil*, OT, USC
The most complete tackle I have evaluated in my time scouting prospects, Kalil has the athleticism to excel as a pass-blocker and the mean streak to be a force in the running game.

Cleveland Browns
Record: 4-12 | Top needs: RB, WR, ROT, QB, OLB, DE
Justin Blackmon*, WR, Oklahoma State
With the top two quarterbacks on the board already gone, Blackmon's size, hands and physical style offer the Browns a playmaker who can help current QB Colt McCoy.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record: 4-12 | Top needs: CB, RB, SS, OLB, OG, TE
Trent Richardson*, RB, Alabama
This is a tough call because you could make an argument for taking LSU CB Morris Claiborne here and grabbing one of the second-tier running backs with the 36th pick. Richardson is a special prospect, though, and he could be just what QB Josh Freeman and the Bucs need to jump-start an offense that finished 30th in the league in rushing last season.

St. Louis Rams (from WAS)
Record: 2-14 | Top needs: WR, OT, DT, CB, RB, LB
Morris Claiborne*, CB, LSU
The Rams desperately need playmakers for young QB Sam Bradford, but there are plenty of wideouts to be had down the line, and Claiborne is one of the four best players in the draft and plays a high-value position.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Record: 5-11 | Top needs: WR, DE, ROT, CB, C, RB
Riley Reiff*, OT, Iowa
Reiff is a safe, high-character pick who fits the draft style of Jags general manager Gene Smith. He will solidify the offensive line and provide protection for second-year QB Blaine Gabbert as he continues to develop. North Carolina DE Quinton Coples is the most talented player on the board at this point, but he's the kind of high-upside prospect who doesn't fit Smith's style.

Miami Dolphins
Record: 6-10 | Top needs: QB, DE, WR, ROT, S, TE
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M
Tannehill is still somewhat raw as a quarterback -- just 19 starts after beginning his career as a wide receiver -- but his athleticism and upside are impressive. He also makes better decisions than some give him credit for and he didn't get much help in his senior year, when he was coached by new Dolphins offensive coordinator Mike Sherman.

Carolina Panthers
Record: 6-10 | Top needs: DT, WR, CB, OLB, OT, DE
Dontari Poe*, DT, Memphis
Poe blew up the NFL combine with his combination of size (6-foot-3½, 346 pounds), athleticism and speed. He is exactly the kind of dominating interior presence the Panthers need.

Buffalo Bills
Record: 6-10 | Top needs: OT, WR, QB, CB, TE, OLB
Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
Floyd is a bit of a reach here, but no more so than OTs Mike Adams and Jonathan Martin. It's a tough call on the Bills' top two needs in this scenario, and they could look to trade down in a situation like this. They could also pull the trigger on a value pick such as Coples.

Kansas City Chiefs
Record: 7-9 | Top needs: 3-4 NT, LG, ILB, S, 3-4 DE, 3-4 OLB
Luke Kuechly*, ILB, Boston College
With Poe off the board, Kuechly addresses another big hole on defense and would team with Derrick Johnson to give the Chiefs range and playmaking ability inside. Kuechly has elite instincts and intelligence, and he proved at the combine that he is more athletic than many thought.

Seattle Seahawks
Record: 7-9 | Top needs: DE, LB, TE, WR, G/ROT, RB
Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
A great value at a position of primary need. Coples is a versatile prospect with solid measurables, good pass-rush ability and the ability to hold up against the run.

Arizona Cardinals
Record: 8-8 | Top needs: ROT, WR, 3-4 DE, QB, 3-4 OLB, DB
Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina
The Cardinals have bigger needs at offensive tackle and wide receiver, but coach Ken Whisenhunt learned the value of playmaking linebackers during his days in Pittsburgh. Ingram is strong and explosive and shows a knack for making big plays, and he would give Arizona needed depth along the front seven.

Dallas Cowboys
Record: 8-8 | Top needs: 3-4 DL, G, CB, RB, 3-4 OLB, TE
Fletcher Cox*, DT, Mississippi State
Stanford G David DeCastro and Alabama S Mark Barron are possibilities here, but I like what Cox could bring to Rob Ryan's defense. He has the versatility to play anywhere along the defensive line and can provide pass-rush production from the inside.

Philadelphia Eagles
Record: 8-8 | Top needs: WLB, SLB, SS, OT (depth), DL, QB
Mark Barron, S, Alabama
The Eagles began addressing their linebacker need by trading for DeMeco Ryans, so Barron makes sense in the back end. He is the most complete safety in the draft, offering a physical presence in run support and the range to play the point in coverage.

New York Jets
Record: 8-8 | Top needs: OLB, WR, ROT, 3-4 DE, TE, ILB
Courtney Upshaw, DE/OLB, Alabama
Upshaw is the kind of physical, versatile front-seven player Rex Ryan loaded up on in his days with the Ravens, showing explosiveness and power as a pass-rusher and as a run defender. Floyd also would be a consideration here if he were available, and he would be a good complement to Santonio Holmes.

Cincinnati Bengals (from OAK)
Record: 9-7 | Top needs: CB, G, WR, SS, DL, RB
David DeCastro*, G, Stanford
DeCastro is the No. 12 overall prospect on our board but falls a bit because of positional value. He would be a great addition for the Bengals in front of young QB Andy Dalton.

San Diego Chargers
Record: 8-8 | Top needs: ROT, 3-4 NT, G, 3-4 DE, S, RB/TE/WR depth
Cordy Glenn, OT/G, Georgia
The Chargers have addressed many needs in free agency, but Jeromey Clary is clearly not the answer at right tackle. Glenn is a massive (6-5¾, 345), powerful prospect who would boost the running game and help keep QB Philip Rivers clean in the pocket.

Chicago Bears
Record: 8-8 | Top needs: LOT, TE, G, DE, DT, CB
Jonathan Martin*, OT, Stanford
Martin needs to add some strength, but he could pair with 2011 first-round OT Gabe Carimi to give offensive coordinator Mike Tice a pair of bookends to coach up. Tice's scheme will help keep QB Jay Cutler upright, but the Bears desperately need a left tackle

Tennessee Titans
Record: 9-7 | Top needs: S, CB, TE, DE, G/C, LB
Dre Kirkpatrick*, CB, Alabama
Adding Kamerion Wimbley addressed the Titans' pass-rush need, so Kirkpatrick will fill a void at corner. He has the size, toughness and instincts to fit nicely in Tennessee's zone-heavy scheme. North Alabama's Janoris Jenkins is a better cover corner but will drop because of character baggage, but rising South Carolina CB Stephon Gilmore also could be a consideration here.

Cincinnati Bengals
Record: 9-7 | Top needs: CB, G, WR, SS, DL, RB
Stephon Gilmore*, CB, South Carolina
Gilmore is rising fast thanks to a combination of size (6-0½, 190), quick feet and ball skills, and even the Bengals likely will pass on Jenkins in favor of Gilmore.

Cleveland Browns (from ATL)
Record: 4-12 | Top needs: RB, WR, ROT, QB, OLB, DE
Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State
Adams is a little risky because of his lack of consistency and killer instinct, but he has the size (6-7¼, 323), agility and long arms that teams look for in left tackles. The Browns have a need at tackle, and Adams has plenty of upside.

Detroit Lions
Record: 10-6 | Top needs: CB, LOT/G, DE, LB (depth), C, RB
Whitney Mercilus*, DE, Illinois
The Lions put the franchise tag on DE Cliff Avril, and Kyle Vanden Bosch will be 34 this season, so now is the time to add an edge rusher to make sure their defensive line will remain a devastating force for years to come. Mercilus has quickness and a knack for big plays, but he is still developing and this would be a good situation for him.

Pittsburgh Steelers
Record: 12-4 | Top needs: G/ROT, 3-4 NT, ILB, RB, DB depth, OT depth
Dont'a Hightower*, ILB, Alabama
Hightower has nailed the pre-draft process and is solidly in the first round, and, with his ability to control the interior against the run, he's a perfect fit for Pittsburgh's 3-4 system. There are few 263-pounders who run like Hightower.

Denver Broncos
Record: 8-8 | Top needs: DT, CB, G/C, RB, WR, QB
Michael Brockers*, DT, LSU
The interior defensive line is clearly the Broncos' biggest need, and Brockers could prove to be a steal at this point. He has a big (6-5, 323), well-proportioned frame and better mobility than his production indicates, and, with some coaching and time in the weight room, Brockers could become a force.

Houston Texans
Record: 10-6 | Top needs: WR, ROT, ILB, G, CB, 3-2 OLB
Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
The Texans need another playmaker opposite WR Andre Johnson, and Wright fits the bill. He proved his speed in his pro day workout, and Wright is a dynamic runner after the catch who also can contribute in the return game if needed.

New England Patriots (from N.O.)
Record: 12-4 | Top needs: DE, DT, DB, C, SLB, WR
Chandler Jones*, DE, Syracuse
Jones is one of the most underrated prospects in the entire 2012 class and just the kind of versatile defender Bill Belichick likes. Jones is long and athletic and can play end in an odd or even front, maybe even some outside linebacker in 3-4 looks.

Green Bay Packers
Record: 15-1 | Top needs: 3-4 OLB, S, QB, TE, 3-4 DL
Andre Branch, DE, Clemson
Packers OLB Clay Matthews clearly needs pass-rush help, and Branch can provide that with his motor and ability to get after the quarterback. He has the athleticism to move to outside linebacker in Green Bay's 3-4 defense, where he also can hold up well against the run.

Baltimore Ravens
Record: 12-4 | Top needs: G, OLB, LOT, DE, ILB, RB
Harrison Smith, S, Notre Dame
With no offensive linemen worth drafting, fast-rising Smith is a good value pick who could provide long-term security at safety with the clock ticking on Ed Reed. The Ravens also could consider a defensive tackle such as Connecticut's Kendall Reyes at this spot.

San Francisco 49ers
Record: 13-3 | Top needs: G, 3-4 DE, WR, RB, CB, OLB
Stephen Hill*, WR, Georgia Tech
Hill is as raw as they come for a prospect from a BCS conference, but his size (6-4, 215) and big-play ability (29.3-yard average on 28 receptions) make him hard to ignore, especially after he turned in one of the most impressive combine workouts I've seen from a receiver.

New England Patriots
Record: 13-3 | Top needs: DE, DT, DB, C, SLB, WR
Kendall Reyes, DT, Connecticut
Reyes is a versatile talent who hasn't yet played to his potential, but he is a smart player who could thrive in this scheme and with this organization.

New York Giants
Record: 9-7 | Top needs: OT, RB, LB, DT, DE, S
Lavonte David, OLB, Nebraska
The Giants might have bigger needs, but David is a great value and a perfect fit. He is one of the best pure football players in the entire draft, someone who could be plugged in on the weak side and allow Michael Boley to move to the middle.
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« Reply #4 on: Apr 02, 2012 at 12:18 »

McShay Rd 2:
33    Rams    Jerel Worthy    DT    Michigan State
34    Colts    Coby Fleener    TE    Stanford
35    Vikings    Alshon Jeffery    WR    South Carolina
36    Buccaneers    Zach Brown    OLB    North Carolina
37    Browns    Brandon Weeden    QB    Oklahoma State
38    Jaguars    Nick Perry    DE    USC
39    Rams (from Was.)    Rueben Randle    WR    LSU
40    Panthers    Janoris Jenkins    CB    North Alabama
41    Bills    Brock Osweiler    QB    Arizona State
42    Dolphins    Bobby Massie    OT    Mississippi
43    Seahawks    Mychal Kendricks    ILB    Cal
44    Chiefs    Kevin Zeitler    OG    Wisconsin
45    Cowboys    Amini Silatolu    OG    Midwestern State
46    Eagles    Devon Still    DT    Penn State
47    Jets    Brandon Thompson    DT/DE    Clemson
48    Patriots (from Oak.)    Peter Konz    C    Wisconsin
49    Chargers    Alameda Ta'amu    NT    Washington
50    Bears    Dwayne Allen    TE    Clemson
51    Eagles (from Ari.)    Ronnell Lewis    OLB    Oklahoma
52    Titans    Orson Charles    TE    Georgia
53    Bengals    Lamar Miller    RB    Miami (Fla.)
54    Lions    Josh Robinson    CB    UCF
55    Falcons    Vinny Curry    DE    Marshall
56    Steelers    Doug Martin    RB    Boise State
57    Broncos    David Wilson    RB    Virginia Tech
58    Texans    Zebrie Sanders    OT    Florida State
59    Packers    Trumaine Johnson    CB    Montana
60    Ravens    Jeff Allen    OG    Illinois
61    49ers    Kelechi Osemele    OG    Iowa State
62    Patriots    Brandon Taylor    S    LSU
63    Giants    Mitchell Schwartz    OT    Cal
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« Reply #5 on: Apr 02, 2012 at 13:42 »

In Kiper's scenario, I would trade up to 1.18 (San Diego) with our R1 and R3 and snag DeCastro.  More I look at the OG spot, the more I dig this guy and the less I like Cordy Glenn.

I do like Doug Martin a lot, but I'd be looking to trade Mendenhall for picks if that were the case. 

Poe top 10 is overdrafted.  Ditto Brock Osweiler in the first three rounds.  McShay doesn't have Brandon Brooks in R2; incorrect.  Ditto Bobby Wagner, Utah State ILB: that's a major fail, tan-boy.  In fact, I'd take Wagner R2 and use the R1 pick on Zeitler, Harrison Smith, or hells, maybe Stephen Hill if I were feeling frisky.  Or:  trade back for 2 R2, take Brooks and Wagner.  Sweet.
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